Los Alamos Covid ModelThis is a statistical growth model. It does not make assumptions about how the virus is spreading. Instead, it forecasts the rate at which the virus will continue to spread. Inherently, this paradigm then allows for fewer assumptions to be made than other COVID-19 models. Consequently, this model is less susceptible to mistakes due to core assumptions. These statistical growth models are sensitive to changes in virus conditions, and such changes may be caused by forces independent of the virus.